If you’re touring 94611 this month, what should you do?
Treat 94611 as still competitive: August listing shelf was thin (55 actives, −36% YoY; list median DOM 27), and Redfin’s latest rolling sales window closed homes in a median 14 days at about 123.9% of list. Size offers from the sale tape and your payment ceiling — not by blending list and sale medians.
Five actions mapped to the numbers
- Stress-test the payment, not the list median. August median list was $1,097,500; Redfin median sale in the earlier window was $1,500,000. ACS median household income is $180,549 (Census Reporter) — ZIP backdrop only. Get pre-approval before you tour.
- Plan for a short offer path. Sale-side median DOM of 14 days and ~123.9% sale-to-list mean competitive homes often move fast and clear above ask in that window. See how to read DOM & sale-to-list.
- Watch new listings against a thin shelf. August had 48 new listings and only 55 actives (−36% YoY). Waiting for a deep inventory bounce is not what the YoY tape shows.
- Keep list ≠ sale when sizing an offer. Different publishers, different periods. Full side-by-side: August 2026 ZIP Pulse.
- Pair pace with hills parcel checks. Verify wildfire hazard via CAL FIRE; commute via BART for Rockridge-adjacent pockets. Process map: first-time buyer in the Oakland Hills.
FAQ
Can I afford homes in ZIP 94611 right now?
Use both tapes: August median list $1,097,500 (Realtor.com) vs Redfin median sale $1,500,000 in the ~Mar–May 2026 window. ACS median household income $180,549 is community context, not your budget.
How fast do I need to move?
List-side August median DOM was 27 with a thin active shelf; sale-side median DOM was 14 in Redfin’s rolling window. Competitive homes may not wait for a leisurely timeline.
Will I pay over asking?
Redfin’s window shows avg sale-to-list ~123.9% and sold-above-list share ~83.5%. That is history for that window — not a guarantee for your next offer.